Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.437814e-05 4.126007e-05 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.456788e-05 3.317845e-05 0.000043 0.000056 0.000070 0.000087 0.000107
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.880944e-05 2.825466e-05 0.000040 0.000055 0.000074 0.000097 0.000125
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.400233e-05 2.344940e-05 0.000036 0.000053 0.000076 0.000103 0.000138
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.060110e-05 1.979383e-05 0.000033 0.000052 0.000077 0.000109 0.000151
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.484926e-06 1.754034e-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000080 0.000116 0.000166
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.535113e-06 1.511776e-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000081 0.000122 0.000177
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.051822e-06 1.313162e-05 0.000027 0.000049 0.000082 0.000127 0.000189
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.821578e-06 1.128998e-05 0.000025 0.000048 0.000083 0.000131 0.000199
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.761159e-06 9.468620e-06 0.000023 0.000046 0.000082 0.000133 0.000206
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.891542e-06 7.745853e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000080 0.000134 0.000212
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.325413e-06 6.517935e-06 0.000018 0.000041 0.000080 0.000136 0.000219
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.005882e-06 5.977064e-06 0.000018 0.000043 0.000085 0.000149 0.000243
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.852801e-07 4.792973e-06 0.000017 0.000042 0.000086 0.000154 0.000258
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.511385e-07 4.023455e-06 0.000016 0.000042 0.000089 0.000163 0.000278
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.636161e-07 3.113125e-06 0.000014 0.000040 0.000089 0.000167 0.000291
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.624807e-08 2.417870e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000089 0.000172 0.000304
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.732812e-08 2.015027e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000092 0.000181 0.000324
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.193371e-09 1.565991e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000093 0.000186 0.000338
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.140176e-10 1.214939e-06 0.000010 0.000037 0.000094 0.000192 0.000354
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 9.071343e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000094 0.000196 0.000367
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.284166e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000093 0.000198 0.000377
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.985138e-07 0.000007 0.000032 0.000091 0.000199 0.000385